Some further charting adventures for bad cattitude's "how to lie using statistics: ontario edition"
A mashup of Canadian and US data throws light on recent Scandinavian Myo/Pericarditis vaccine stoppages
I recently pointed out that the Scandinavian countries have recently stopped the Moderna vaccine entirely (Iceland) or at least for younger ages. Not coincidentally, Moderna is the highest total dose mRNA vaccine.
Bad cattitude has recently done a super job taking on this topic using data emerging out of Ontario and calling them out for downplaying the severity of the situation by inappropriately using averages. The real situation is meaningfully worse when cumulation is properly applied. Hence my exhibit A where I separate the Ontario cumulative data into male vs female and add an intersecting line for US cumulative virus death rates for the younger brackets where it fits the chart’s scale for carditis:
Blow it up and look — it’s not hard to understand. The blue line illustrates how deceptive averaging the sexes is even with properly cumulative data. The risk of carditis in young males is clearly 3-4x higher than in young females.
It is true that the US virus death rates among the young are likely higher than Canada or the Nordics (haven’t picked that apart in detail yet) but the chart is a fair take on the US as the carditis rates in the US are unlikely to be lower than what is seen in Ontario.
And I ALSO leave aside the fact that among the healthy population of the US and all countries the actual death rate for the virus may be as little as one percent or less of what is reported. But it is NOT clear that carditis vaccine risk is also focused on the co-morbid. I could be wrong but strongly suspect I’m not.
Even given that, for males into their 30’s and for females into their 20’s, taking the vaccine adds a carditis risk comparable to the US death risk from the virus itself in those age categories. No, not everyone who gets carditis dies but it is a very serious adverse event that can lead to long term disability, heart transplants and deaths at significant rates. Heart tissue is well known as one of the tissue types to regenerate poorly if at all.
And this is just for relatively short term Myo- and Pericarditis never mind the fact that we are learning as we go what other longer term adverse effects and (even all cause1) deaths we are facing from these non-live-virus “vaccines” (see Dr. Christine Stabell Benn’s riveting 17 minute TEDx from 2018 on that issue). The control arms of the original vaccine trials have been destroyed “accidentally on purpose” as my late father would have said — the current population of unvaccinated in the world IS the trial control arm now.
And I won’t comment much here on whether there is significant under-reporting of adverse events in systems such as the US VAERS (Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System) all around the world. My view after some study is that there is undereporting at least by single digit multiples and probably more in the case of Covid given ubiquitous reports of medico-political pressure and even hiding the existence of VAERS itself but that’s a topic for another stack…
Another topic for thought is that one of the commenters on bad cattitude’s post noticed — just from eyeballing the original table and without having access to my chart above — that the bumps in the female rate line may be related to the waxing and waning of female androgen / estrogen ratios over ages as with menopause for instance.
A thought provoking catch and nice illustration of the strength of the substack “refugee” community…
Re the effect of the vaccs on all cause deaths see this from Profs Fenton and Neil re the UK data. I recommend a stiff drink first though…