An Alternate View of C19 Mortality in the US
Thinking through the implications of that "boomer bulge"...
So what happens if we make the logical assumption that the boomer bulge I animated in my recent post will drive up the death counts and rates meaningfully? And we use recent trend clues to build on?
That looks like this — I have pointed out before that there was already a trend of rising deaths in the US starting in 2010 — when the obvious projections are carried out.
Click to blow it up and read it all carefully:
As Orwell said, “The most powerful form of lie is the omission” and they have been omitting things like crazy.
A key recent insight for my analysis is from @snorman1776 (that I may have also seen earlier from @EWoodhouse7) is:
BTW, an interesting thing to try to help understand my previous boomer population pyramid post re how boomer deaths will increase the deaths and rate going forward anyway is to scroll the animated pyramid so you only see the tip from 65+. The more that presses out at the end trending forward there will need to be some really impressive life extension advances not to see the death count and rate keep accelerating. Go ahead and hold your breath…
UPDATE: A reminder that my “Not As Dangerous As Maine” post is relevant here also when crude death rate (CDR) comes into play. Here’s the chart from it:
The bottom line is that if you had traveled to Maine or Germany in 2019 your risk of death would actually be higher than it is currently in the US with C19. We can argue about whether “traveling” or “teleporting into the body of” is the right way to put it given the risk components but the point holds. Both of those locations have death rates well above 1% which is arguably what the US CDR has risen to for 2020 with C19 as is obvious on my chart when compared to the “population / 100” line.
UPDATE #2: @snorman1776 adds the complementary backward view:
Here is a zoom in on his chart with my annotations including if the lockdown deaths are subtracted.
While this is unfortunate, it’s just flat out lying to say that it in any way justifies the lockdown and mask BS that has destroyed the world. (And remember my analysis of the 1957 Asian Flu pandemic points out that it was also comparable in adjusted relative/ excess deaths impact though this clarifies that the overall adjusted death rate was of course much higher back then.)
And no, none of that works except to marginally change the patterns of propagation along the way to perhaps marginally shelter the racist and elitist Karens as is arguably shown by the NYC (total averaged historical) antibody data by neighborhood poverty:
But wait — look how high these levels are even for the Karens! So in NYC even the Karens turn out to not be very protected as the latest overall AB testing now shows the city at over 40%!
Given that AB detection has a low shelf life it’s impossible to avoid the conclusion that in NYC the virus is endemic and everywhere and the NYC lockdown was a complete failure and … was really about other things.
I like the way that Stacey has concisely explained that:
The question remains going forward if the future lockdown related deaths that will be caused by delayed care will offset the “would have died shortly anyway” prospective deaths reduction or even possibly be so disastrous as to keep deaths near the higher 2020 level.
We are human subjects of a monstrous experiment. Remove yourself from it.