… being a reasonable estimate of the under reporting factor in VAERS for C19 vaccination deaths and major events this year.
As a life long nerd I never tire of the opportunity to showcase this joke.
And of course it’s silly to claim we can know what the VAERS URF is to such accuracy given all the purposeful obfuscation and corruption of the CDC.
So this is not a refutation of Douglas Adams assertion that the answer to life, the universe and everything is 42. Even I am not that presumptuous LOL
Let’s just cut to the chase and jump to my zoomed in age profile VAERS event and death rate chart:
What is this showing us?
The highest and leftmost light green line is the US 2019 all cause death rate. This is shown for calibration of expectations.
The heavier green line is what the Johns Hopkins Covid risk calculator says the Covid death risk is for healthy people
The light orange profile stepped plateau is what you get if you take the Ontario carditis data and inflate it to the level of Koen Swinkels worst case estimate including comparing to Israeli data. See especially his last table with red background.
The black line is what happens when I have my program multiply VAERS carditis reports by 41x as Steve would have me do.
A pretty shockingly good fit between Koen’s worst suspicion take (orange stepped plateau) and Steve’s 41x URF estimate (black line), no?
And in defense of Douglas, 42 would be close enough for horseshoes also I think.
I’ll add updates with more explanation and detailed chart analysis as I have time but even though carditis is not a certain death event of course, maybe a way to look at this is that boys and young men may be playing Russian Roulette with a 200-300ish round revolver aimed at their foot if not actually their temple.
Against at worst a 1 in 50,000-300,000 Covid death risk and a 1 in many thousands Covid hospitalization rate for healthy boys and young men this is a dumb idea.
And when the world-wide gene therapy trial completes many years from now with who knows how many booster shots added, I’m suspecting we will look back wishing things looked this good.
Did I forget to mention that I didn’t talk about anything here for adverse events but carditis in boys and young men?
As a thought experiment, could you compare the risk of the C19 shots to risky sports. For instance, one of my rough calcs was showing each shot was equivalent to going skydiving 10 times.