Just as everyone is all dead in Sweden, so we keep hearing it is in New York City. Body bags are everywhere in fact.
One little problem with that theory is that there is no excess death in NYC which actually reports separately to the CDC. And that’s true even of the frail elderly!
Well, but what about the lag in excess death reporting? OK, let’s take a look at New York State which last I knew was highly geographically associated with the city.
Looks to me like the state IS showing some excess in the 75+ population which seems to put a bit of a damper on the lag being the problem. This is understandable since NYC metro set the world record for C19 deaths in the spring and anywhere else has some real catching up to do.
But you might want to compare the proportion of excess to the spring before being gripped with terror.
Oh, and you might want to look carefully at the Y scales on those two charts. That’s right, NYC basically reports as its own “state” and is not cumulative in the New York State numbers for excess analysis!
And why is NYC nothing like the fake news is telling you? Because they’re also not telling you that the city’s less Karen filled communities — you know, the lowly folks who are the bulk of the city’s population which are unable to hide in the Hamptons and have to do actual work — are running as high as 33% antibodies.
But yeah, the virus still hasn’t touched 90% of the population according to fake news LOL
Bueller? Bueller?
UPDATE 12/27/20 — still no recent excess deaths in NYC…